Well, I'm terrified

by Jon Sullivan - 2020-03-31 - Opinion

<<<<< previous blog         next blog >>>>>

We keep assuming we'll see the light at the end of the tunnel. But the tunnel keeps getting longer.

By 2020 many people have relied on Amazon.com their entire lives. I remember it's start up in the 90s, bragging about the new model for how people would shop. Pundits made a career of cataloging why it wouldn't work. It's ubiquitous now.

But Amazon built everything they do on a "just in time" supply chain. Warehouses have only what will be ordered soon. Factories only make new stuff after something in the warehouse is bought. Raw materials are only shipped after factories use what they have. Zero slack, by design. And with the virus, now every single point in the supply chain is a bottleneck. Now Amazon can't sell you things like toilet paper or rice or.... well.... anything you really need.

Even worse, at every step, businesses are closing for social distancing, and people are either dying or bed ridden, breaking the chain further.

With the chain broken, Amazon is broken, and with it a big chunk of civilization. And of course not just Amazon, all supply and demand models are affected. Our models are based on obvious assumptions. Assumptions like going to an office won't be illegal/deadly. Assumptions like butt wipe won't be more valuable than lobster. By the time we get a new model in place, the main virus threat will be over. Then we'll need to try and rebuild the thing we just replaced. Rehire all the people we just laid off. The whole chain.

And to pile on, the US has somehow gone decades accepting that 60% of the population can live paycheck to paycheck. Now a lot of those paychecks have dried up. I'm wondering what will change to make jobs, labor, etc less fragile for that 60%. Unemployment insurance only happened in the 1930s to stop communists (yes, real communists) from gaining support after the great depression. Will we see more support for social democratic policies now? Will people start to wonder why if social democrat policies are so evil, why do we use them so often and so quickly to bail out capitalism?

We thought we were building a stronger future. But we only made it more fragile.

<<<<< previous blog         next blog >>>>>
Eugene weather
59.36 degrees F, Clear (clear sky)
Min: 56.73 ,Max: 62.06 ,Humidity: 85, Wind: 3.44
Eugene, OR - Best Restaurants
Eugene, OR - Things to do
Eugene, OR - Fish reports
Oregon road conditions
Recent Posts
- Jon is.....
    Unknown forces changed who I am three years ago. I suspect more is needed.
- Fake
    The amount of fake "photos" online is starting to worry me.
- Jon is green
    Some short takes on my exciting life while global warming slowly kills us all.
- Adventure
    Two years ago I was in San Diego packing up all my stuff. I wrote down some goals. How has that worked out?
- Love
    A year ago I went to a party that changed who I am and how I live. I went again this year.
- Pizza?
    For The Solstice gathering in Kalispell, may I take your order?
- Jonism
    There was a FB post asking people to post three things they are grateful for. I find that limiting.
Food I Cooked
Old School Blogroll
Home of fine hypertext products.
A community weblog.
A Chicken Is Not Pillage
You forgot his exclamation point! It defines him. He put it there for a reason, to show how in! your! face! he is.
abada abada - twenty years of jessamyn
Matt Haughey
A Whole Lotta Nothing
Heater, Mother Of Lance
Anil Dash
A blog about making culture. Since 1999.
Some Bits
Nelson's weblog
Everlasting Blort
proud member of the reality-based community
This machine mocks fascists
Scripting News
It's even worse than it appears.
Short attention spans in a world full of flowers
mimi smartypants
Seriously, though: what's with the penguins?
Montreal City Weblog
Stupid Evil Bastard
What the fuck is wrong with you people?
Idle Words
brevity is for the weak
Making Light
Say what you mean. Bear witness. Iterate.
50,000 Monkeys at 50,000 Typewriters Can't Be Wrong
Justin Hall
Growing & breaking down since 1994
Mike the Mad Biologist
Helping idiots who desperately need my assistance by calling them fucking morons since 2004
AKMA’s Random Thoughts
Ruminations about hermeneutics, theology, theory, politics, ecclesiastical life… and exercise.
things magazine
An occasional weblog about objects, collections and discoveries
Miscellaneous Heathen
Hold to the now, the here, through which all future plunges to the past.
where it's always Virgo Season
Recent Trips
Getting it ready for you.